The big corona fiasco
“Computer modeling” is a fancy way of saying we put data in the computer and it gave us answers based on certain assumptions. Computers have made lots of predictions: the earth will freeze into a new ice age; the earth will heat up and our cities will be under water; AIDS will break out into the general population; Ebola, Zika and Swine flu will kill millions; Hilary Clinton will win the election. The current corona fiasco is no different.
Garbage in, garbage out
The problem is that computer models are only as good as the data put in. Put in poor data, you’ll get poor answers. As they say, “garbage in, garbage out.”
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, from Imperial College London, using computer modeling predicted that 500,000 people in the UK and 2.2 million in the US will die from the coronavirus. His predictions were widely cited and the world became hysterical. California, New York, New Jersey. Pennsylvania, Illinois and other states demanded that “non-essential” businesses close, schools close, individuals quarantine themselves, we practice social distancing and destruction of their economies.
The media loved it: “It’s the BIG ONE. Millions will die.” Why is it that when scientists speak reporters that otherwise dissect every word coming from a politician’s mouth simply bow down and become typists? The media uncritically reports whatever a person in a white coat and letters after his name says.
Why is this important? Because they made everyone crazy!!! Title from Technology News:
Imperial College (UK) Found as Sole Agent of Panic Over Coronavirus
The world has apparently been ‘punked’ by Imperial College London into a global panic over the coronavirus. Imperial has long been associated with global warming studies using disputed data that have promoted climate alarmism. (1)
About a week later, based on new data, projected deaths in the UK dropped from 500,000 to 20,000. Projected deaths in the US dropped from 2.2 million to 84,000.
Ooops! Have we ruined millions of lives and livelihoods for a mistake? What will new garbage in, garbage out tomorrow bring?
Anthony Fauci, MD who swallowed the highly flawed original computer model hook, line and sinker now says in the New England Journal of Medicine:
…the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively. (2)
Now you tell us?
Thanks Dr. Fauci. After shutting down the country, destroying the US economy, ruining lives, making our kids stay home, losing jobs, freaking people out, preventing two KST seminars (and making my post office cold), now you tell us it’s just another bad flu???
So why the panic?
Why the panic? Because of a herd mentality among researchers who are afraid to question big shots with letters after their names, a herd mentality of politicians who want to be re-elected, a herd mentality among scientists who want money and fame and a herd mentality among the public who think if an “expert” says it, then it must be right. All they were doing was pushing worse-case scenarios from failed computer models.
Oxford Epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta commented on this lack of critical thinking:
If Gupta’s model is accurate, fewer than one in a thousand who’ve been infected with COVID-19 become sick enough to need hospitalization, leaving the vast majority with mild cases or free of symptoms…. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” Gupta criticized.
The Oxford results would mean the country had already acquired substantial herd immunity through the unrecognised spread of Covid-19 over more than two months. (3)
Let’s do the math
Less than 1 in 1,000 infected with coronavirus will get ill. That’s less than 0.1%. Of those who get ill a fraction will die—that’s a pretty tiny number and that means the virus has a lower mortality than the seasonal flu. This is a lower mortality than the common cold.
Dr Joel Kettner is a professor of Community Health Sciences and Surgery at Manitoba University, former Chief Public Health Officer for Manitoba province and Medical Director of the International Centre for Infectious Diseases.
I have never seen anything like this, anything anywhere near like this. I’m not talking about the pandemic, because I’ve seen 30 of them, one every year. It is called influenza. And other respiratory illness viruses, we don’t always know what they are. But I’ve never seen this reaction, and I’m trying to understand why.
I worry about the message to the public, about the fear of coming into contact with people, being in the same space as people, shaking their hands, having meetings with people. I worry about many, many consequences related to that.
In the province of Hubei, where there has been the most cases and deaths by far, the actual number of cases reported is 1 per 1000 people and the actual rate of deaths reported is 1 per 20,000. So maybe that would help to put things into perspective. (4)
How about we throw all the computer modelers into a big prison as punishment for creating this hysteria? How many people will apologize and lose their jobs? None. Didn’t Fauci tell us in the 1980s that AIDS was going to break out into the heterosexual population? Why wasn’t he relieved of his position then?
Remember that old saying: Experts built the Titanic and amateurs built the Ark? Or as Richard P. Feynman, Physicist & Educator says: “Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts.”
What’s happening in Italy?
Why is there such a high death rate from this year’s flu in Italy? Statistics from the years 2014-2017 show that there is always a high death rate from the flu in Italy. During that period there were more than 68,000 deaths attributable to the flu; higher than other European countries.
We estimated excess deaths of 7,027, 20,259, 15,801 and 24,981 attributable to influenza epidemics in the 2013/14, 2014/15, 2015/16 and 2016/17…. In recent years, Italy has been registering peaks in death rates, particularly among the elderly during the winter season. A mortality rate of 10.7 per 1,000 inhabitants was observed in the winter season 2014/2015 (more than 375,000 deaths in absolute terms), corresponding to an estimated 54,000 excess deaths (+9.1%) as compared to 2014, representing the highest reported mortality rate since the Second World War in Italy. (5)
As of this writing, Italy reports 10,779 deaths attributable to coronavirus. But the big question is, is this from seasonal flu? About 99% of those who are supposed to have died from coronavirus had pre-existing conditions and an average age of 80. 50% of those who died had 3 or more chronic underlying conditions. But no one asks if those who died had a flu shot.
The flu shot
A recent study shows military personnel who received the flu vaccine were at 36% increased risk for coronavirus…pre-COVID-19. The study population consisted of a population with a history of being heavily vaccinated. (6)
Special flu shot for older Italians
In September 2019 a new ‘cell-based’ flu shot, called VIQCC or QIVc, that is produced from cultured animal cells rather than eggs was made available for the first time in Italy. It was recommended for adults 65 years of age or older. (7)
Could this new, barely tested flu shot given to adults 65 years of age or older be responsible for the terrible coronavirus death toll in Italy?
Corona fiasco: What’s really going on?
“Grotesque, absurd and very dangerous…based on nothing but a spook”
Dr Sucharit Bhakdi is a specialist in microbiology, professor at the Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz, head of the Institute for Medical Microbiology and Hygiene and one of the most cited research scientists in German history.
We are afraid that 1 million infections with the new virus will lead to 30 deaths per day over the next 100 days. But we do not realise that 20, 30, 40 or 100 patients positive for normal coronaviruses are already dying every day.
[The government’s anti-COVID19 measures] are grotesque, absurd and very dangerous […] The life expectancy of millions is being shortened. The horrifying impact on the world economy threatens the existence of countless people…. All these measures are leading to self-destruction and collective suicide based on nothing but a spook. (8)
Dr Wolfgang Wodarg, pulmonology specialist, is former chairman of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe. In 2009 he called for an inquiry into alleged conflicts of interest surrounding the EU response to the Swine Flu pandemic.
Politicians are being courted by scientists…scientists who want to be important to get money for their institutions. Scientists who just swim along in the mainstream and want their part of it […] And what is missing right now is a rational way of looking at things.
We should be asking questions like “How did you find out this virus was dangerous?”, “How was it before?”, “Didn’t we have the same thing last year?”, “Is it even something new?” That’s missing. (9)
Finally, Shiva Ayyadurai, MD, PhD says the coronavirus crisis will go down as “one of the biggest frauds.” (10) What’s next? Mandatory vaccination for all?
- Fauci AS, Lane HC, Redfield RR. Covid-19 — Navigating the uncharted. N Engl J Med 2020; 382:1268-1269. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387
- 12 Experts Questioning the Coronavirus Panic https://www.globalresearch.ca/12-experts-questioning-coronavirus-panic/5707532
- Rosano A, Bella A, Gesualdi F et al. Investigating the impact of influenza on excess mortality in all ages in Italy during recent seasons (2013/14–2016/17 seasons). Int’l J of Infectious Diseases. Nov 1, 2019;28:127-134.
- Wolff GG. Influenza vaccination and respiratory virus interference among Department of Defense personnel during the 2017–2018 influenza season. Vaccine. 10 January 2020;38(2):350-354.
- 12 Experts Questioning the Coronavirus Panic https://www.globalresearch.ca/12-experts-questioning-coronavirus-panic/5707532
Tedd Koren, DC discovered Koren Specific Technique, a breakthrough in healthcare, after dozens of doctors were unable to help him. For more information on KST or to register for an upcoming seminar, go to www.korenspecifictechnique.com or call 267-498-0071 (US East Coast).
Dr. Koren has been following and writing about the corona question. Read his other corona posts: The Coronavirus is Coming, Corona Alert: The Martians are Coming! and Corona Virus: Going, Going, Gone!
Please scroll down below to leave me a comment.
And please share this far and wide – patients, colleagues, friends & family!
The buttons are on the right.=====>
Dr. Tedd Koren
Dr. Koren, originally from Brooklyn, NY, lives in Montgomery County, PA. A graduate of the U of Miami and Sherman College of Chiropractic, he writes, lectures and teaches in the US, Europe and Australia as well as takes care of patients and fights for healthcare freedom. Dr. Koren and his wife Beth have two children.
Great article and love the references. It’s going out to everyone I know. Fantastic job Tedd!!!
Dear Donald, So please will you call off the dogs and let us go back to normal?
Brilliant Dr Tedd.
My practice, like all other chiropractic practices in New Zealand has been shut down by our wise Government and the economic and social consequences are to be feared more than the evil virus. We are designated a non-essential service!
How can you be non-essential when DCs got much, much better cure rates than MDs during the 1918 pandemic? I’d rather the medical profession be considered non-essential (even dangerous) and everyone instead be told to see chiropractors, osteopaths, homeopaths, herbalists etc. to keep their immune system healthy and happy.
Just love reading what you have to say. And you say it so well! Thank you!
Tedd. I remember when we first spoke about the large, concentrated number of cases here in Italy, not far from where I work. You made a very astute observation predicting the possibility of a vaccine given to a large population of people. A well known international researcher and scientist here in Italy has confirmed your hypothesis. Thank you for your work!
Good morning Howard!
Where can I find information on the international researcher and scientist findings on the possibility of a vaccine given to large population in Italy? Thanks!
I’ll respond for Howard: check out the latest blog, there are links re Italy.
Thanks Tedd always love your clarity!
Thank you for writing Mike. Isn’t it amazing that Sherman has closed its health center at this very time when people need more care than ever?
The herd does not realize that they are listening to corporate funded media. As the majority of people are suffering financially, someone else is making lots of money.
Fear is the greatest way to control people. I’m not sure why we bother learning history as nobody learns anything from it.
I loved your article. Please keep them coming.
Are there any laws governing this type of behavior? I think that King Henry III had ways of doling out punishment, but in todays’ world we are more ‘civil’ and put up with it.
Thank you Dr Tedd. We have had our practice in Kentucky for over 30 years, and have been ORDERED closed since March 20, until further notice!
NO emergency patients, NOTHING!
As this was beginning, we were encouraging our patients to be adjusted to boost the immune system. We were doing the ‘CDC guidelines’ to comply. BUT, because the Chiropractor has to TOUCH patients, we cannot practice!
How can ANY doctor see a patient without touching them?!
This stinks like the old days of ‘contain and eliminate’!
I share your fury! DCs have historically helped people with all kinds of health problems: flu, pneumonia, heart conditions etc. – why deprive them of needed care? Also DCs help keep people away from MDS thus saving many lives.
Thank you for your response, Dr Tedd.
This is very true.
If we, who endorse the Chiropractic lifestyle, don’t learn from our history,
then history will repeat itself!
We are the next torchbearers of our profession.
Yes, Dianna. History is repeating itself but this time the chiropractic profession is sitting on the sidelines. In 1918 DCs saved many lives, but today offices and schools are closing. They don’t know their history. https://korenwellness.com/blog/1918-flu-killer-flu-killer-aspirin/
Dr. Koren, Thank you, as always, for your well-researched POVs. I saw the end of News as we thought we knew it when 24-hour news channels began competing with each other for viewership. And, I now use the word “news” advisedly. So much of it seems to be sensationalizing and editorializing. And, sadly, this is what most of the public accept as fact. The other problem, as I see it, is that 24 hours must be filled, daily. A minute of quiet airtime would be a fiasco to these channels, so news has to be created and embellished to fill out the time. As the late columnist, Lester Bangs, once wrote: “We don’t report the news – we *write* it!” Sadly, this seems to be the motto of too many of those we trust to give us information. Thank you for sharing a factual viewpoint. Stay well – all of us. Best Regards, Bob Rush, D.C.
Unfortunately whilst this is the truth, the media and the politicians want to stay with the hype and scare story as its much more exciting.
Sad but true.
Greetings from Canada – such an inspiring update with Dr. Tedd’s usual touch of humor! Very much needed amid all this doom and gloom. A true sense of fresh air when I know how well Dr. Tedd researches his topics and provides great references as back up. Always super and valuable work you do for us all. How can we get all this good news on the networks? But then they thrive on sensationalism, drama and scandal. What happened to the impeachment, railway blockages in Canada due to pipeline expansion and Brexit? Going out to play now!
This is the 2nd time you’ve tried to make Sunetra Gupta’s work say something different to what she intended so let me rein you in a little.
> Both scenarios are equally plausible, says Sunetra Gupta, the theoretical epidemiologist who led the Oxford work. “I do think it is missing from the thinking that there is an equally big possibility that a lot of us are immune,” she says. The model itself cannot answer the question, she says; only widespread testing for antibodies can, and that needs to be done urgently.
1. She uses the same “garbage in, garbage out” modelling you so despise from the other epidemiologists
2. Her agenda for the paper https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042291v1 was to highlight the need to test for antibodies in the blood of the general population so we can tell how many of us (if any) are currently immune, since without knowing that, it’s impossible to tell the effectiveness of the social distancing measures and when we will reach herd immunity.
In other words, the Imperial College’s estimates of 2.2 million deaths in the US were assuming no immunity AND no behavioural change in the community. Gupta’s estimates assume some herd immunity already AND social behavioural changes.
The issue is not about the virus, it’s about treating the number of people who catch it. It’s all about hospital beds and ventilators.
Everyone has an agenda. The Imperial College is protecting the hospital systems and politicians who want to get elected again so they don’t want their hospital systems buckling under pressure. Oxford (Gupta) is promoting more blood tests and therefore pushing the agenda of pharmacology. Dr Shiva wants to get himself elected. Dr Tedd wants to sell tickets to KST seminars.
I don’t think we are in disagreement. My comments were to highlight the problems with computer models. When the original Imperial college’s mistakes were publicized I then asked, ‘what other mistakes or things we’ve overlooked will come to light? what other assumptions (input) are incorrect?
To assume that the reason I have my position is to sell tickets to a KST seminar is nasty and cruel on your part. Personal attacks are not tolerated and I’d like an apology for your remarks.
Yes, fair enough. You have a business to protect and I shouldn’t diminish that. It was not a kind remark so I apologise.
That is no apology, you accused me of putting my business interests ahead of health concerns. That was the nasty thing about your remarks. No matter how much I cite the science, you accuse me of not caring about others. That’s what was nasty. You weren’t able to see beyond your preconceived bias. Not everyone is solely motivated by making money.
I’m actually surprised you have not yet taken aim at those communist bastards in China who gave everyone fake data to begin with, and are probably still giving us fake data.
I think you need to take this more seriously! The media tells us that people here in the UK are dying by the hundreds and we are told we likely to get 10,000 deaths a day!
This is what we are being told over and over, on a daily basis.
Strange thing is the local hospitals and the big ones are very quiet , no overloaded ICUs.
We have a patient who works in the ICU in the nearest city, they told us: ” We have virtually no one in the unit at the moment, think we might have all been hyped!”
Wonder what the real agenda might be??
Anyway, I have booked my appointment to be the first to get protected by the vaccine, its our only hope.
Check this out. Subject: Hoax
> Recent modeling incorporating the social distancing, testing, and treatment measures so far employed is projecting fewer deaths than earlier projections did. Instead of welcoming this sign of progress, some have inexplicably attacked the models, claiming these downward revisions show earlier warnings exaggerated the threat and led to excessive economic impacts.
Modeling is only as good as the raw data and assumptions that are made. Modeling revisions are continuing with less and less deaths projected. Social distancing is useless. This study is golden:
In this review, we did not find evidence to support a protective effect of personal protective measures or environmental measures in reducing influenza transmission…Hand hygiene is a widely used intervention and has been shown to effectively reduce the transmission of gastrointestinal infections and respiratory infections. However, in our systematic review, updating the findings of Wong et al., we did not find evidence of a major effect of hand hygiene on laboratory-confirmed influenza virus transmission…We did not find evidence that surgical-type face masks are effective in reducing laboratory-confirmed influenza transmission, either when worn by infected persons (source control) or by persons in the general community to reduce their susceptibility…It is essential to note that the mechanisms of person-to-person transmission in the community have not been fully determined. Controversy remains over the role of transmission through fine-particle aerosols. Xiao J et al. Nonpharmaceutical Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Nonhealthcare Settings-Personal Protective and Environmental Measures. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 May 17; 26(5). https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/5/19-0994_article
‘Why Have We Shut Down The Country?’ Ex-New York Times Reporter Challenges The Dire Coronavirus Models
I have read that the new untested vaccine in Italy VIQCC was created from dog cell lines rather than being egg-based. Is it possible that the influenza vaccine created from the mammal lines is causing the viral interference problem more than the vaccines created from chicken eggs?